Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Mon 28 Jul 2025

00:30

Venue

Estádio do Maracanã

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Flamengo Win

68%

Flamengo

1.47

21%

Draw

4.78

11%

Atletico-MG

8.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.9%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

14.3%

Home win

1 – 1

9.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.93

Flamengo xG

Total xG

2.56

0.64

Atletico-MG xG

68%
21%
FlamengoDrawAtletico-MG

1.47

68%

Home win

4.78

21%

Draw

8.98

11%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.48

60%

BTTS No

1.68

Clean Sheet

53%

Flamengo

1.89

15%

Atletico-MG

6.88

Win to Nil

36%

Flamengo

2.78

2%

Atletico-MG

61.84

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 4.9 1.6 0.3 0.1
1 14.9 9.4 3.0 0.6 0.1
2 14.3 9.1 2.9 0.6 0.1
3 9.2 5.8 1.9 0.4 0.1
4 4.4 2.8 0.9 0.2
5 1.7 1.1 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.929
λ Away (xG) 0.635
Total xG 2.564
League avg home goals 1.270
League avg away goals 0.936
Flamengo attack strength 1.384
Flamengo defence strength 0.630
Atletico-MG attack strength 1.077
Atletico-MG defence strength 1.097
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 52