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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sun 27 Apr 2025

22:30

Venue

Estádio Municipal João Havelange

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cruzeiro Win

65%

Cruzeiro

1.53

25%

Draw

4.01

10%

Vasco DA Gama

10.34

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.3%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.3%

Home win

1 – 1

9.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.01

Cruzeiro xG

Total xG

2.72

0.71

Vasco DA Gama xG

65%
25%
CruzeiroDrawVasco DA Gama

1.53

65%

Home win

4.01

25%

Draw

10.34

10%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.15

54%

BTTS No

1.87

Clean Sheet

49%

Cruzeiro

2.03

13%

Vasco DA Gama

7.45

Win to Nil

32%

Cruzeiro

3.10

1%

Vasco DA Gama

77.03

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 4.7 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 13.3 9.4 3.3 0.8 0.1
2 13.3 9.4 3.3 0.8 0.1
3 8.9 6.3 2.2 0.5 0.1
4 4.5 3.2 1.1 0.3
5 1.8 1.3 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.008
λ Away (xG) 0.708
Total xG 2.716
League avg home goals 1.459
League avg away goals 0.871
Cruzeiro attack strength 1.119
Cruzeiro defence strength 0.906
Vasco DA Gama attack strength 0.897
Vasco DA Gama defence strength 1.230
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 43