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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Cruzeiro Win
66%
1.51
22%
4.63
12%
8.09
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
15.4%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
14.1%
Home win
1 – 1
9.9%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.83
Cruzeiro xG
Total xG
2.48
0.64
Sport Recife xG
CruzeiroDrawSport Recife
1.51
66%
Home win
4.63
22%
Draw
8.09
12%
Away win
Goals Markets
71%
Over 1.5
1.41
29%
Under 1.5
3.45
45%
Over 2.5
2.22
55%
Under 2.5
1.82
24%
Over 3.5
4.17
76%
Under 3.5
1.32
11%
Over 4.5
9.09
89%
Under 4.5
1.12
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
40%
BTTS Yes
2.51
60%
BTTS No
1.66
Clean Sheet
53%
1.90
16%
6.27
Win to Nil
35%
2.88
2%
50.69
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.4 | 5.4 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 15.4 | 9.9 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 2 | 14.1 | 9.1 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 8.6 | 5.6 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.835
λ Away (xG)
0.642
Total xG
2.477
League avg home goals
1.389
League avg away goals
1.023
Cruzeiro attack strength
1.182
Cruzeiro defence strength
0.930
Sport Recife attack strength
0.675
Sport Recife defence strength
1.118
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
64 / 24