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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sun 31 Aug 2025

01:00

Venue

Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cruzeiro Win

49%

Cruzeiro

2.02

24%

Draw

4.11

26%

Sao Paulo

3.82

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.66

Cruzeiro xG

Total xG

2.80

1.14

Sao Paulo xG

49%
24%
26%
CruzeiroDrawSao Paulo

2.02

49%

Home win

4.11

24%

Draw

3.82

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.23

Clean Sheet

32%

Cruzeiro

3.13

19%

Sao Paulo

5.26

Win to Nil

16%

Cruzeiro

6.33

5%

Sao Paulo

20.07

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 6.9 4.0 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 10.1 11.5 6.6 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 8.4 9.6 5.4 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 4.6 5.3 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.9 2.2 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.660
λ Away (xG) 1.141
Total xG 2.801
League avg home goals 1.346
League avg away goals 1.111
Cruzeiro attack strength 1.252
Cruzeiro defence strength 0.961
Sao Paulo attack strength 1.068
Sao Paulo defence strength 0.985
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59