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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sun 10 Aug 2025

22:30

Venue

Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cruzeiro Win

68%

Cruzeiro

1.47

20%

Draw

5.05

12%

Santos

8.16

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.17

Cruzeiro xG

Total xG

2.98

0.81

Santos xG

68%
20%
12%
CruzeiroDrawSantos

1.47

68%

Home win

5.05

20%

Draw

8.16

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

44%

Cruzeiro

2.26

11%

Santos

8.76

Win to Nil

30%

Cruzeiro

3.32

1%

Santos

71.44

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 4.1 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 11.0 8.9 3.6 1.0 0.2
2 11.9 9.7 3.9 1.1 0.2
3 8.6 7.0 2.9 0.8 0.2
4 4.7 3.8 1.5 0.4 0.1
5 2.0 1.7 0.7 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.170
λ Away (xG) 0.814
Total xG 2.984
League avg home goals 1.296
League avg away goals 1.020
Cruzeiro attack strength 1.312
Cruzeiro defence strength 0.914
Santos attack strength 0.873
Santos defence strength 1.276
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 17