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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Mon 22 Sep 2025

00:30

Venue

Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cruzeiro Win

64%

Cruzeiro

1.57

21%

Draw

4.83

16%

RB Bragantino

6.44

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.01

Cruzeiro xG

Total xG

2.88

0.87

RB Bragantino xG

64%
21%
16%
CruzeiroDrawRB Bragantino

1.57

64%

Home win

4.83

21%

Draw

6.44

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.98

50%

BTTS No

2.02

Clean Sheet

42%

Cruzeiro

2.40

13%

RB Bragantino

7.45

Win to Nil

27%

Cruzeiro

3.76

2%

RB Bragantino

47.96

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6 4.9 2.1 0.6 0.1
1 11.2 9.8 4.3 1.3 0.3
2 11.3 9.9 4.3 1.3 0.3
3 7.6 6.6 2.9 0.8 0.2
4 3.8 3.3 1.4 0.4 0.1
5 1.5 1.3 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.008
λ Away (xG) 0.874
Total xG 2.882
League avg home goals 1.354
League avg away goals 1.098
Cruzeiro attack strength 1.180
Cruzeiro defence strength 0.881
RB Bragantino attack strength 0.903
RB Bragantino defence strength 1.257
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61