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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sun 20 Jul 2025

20:00

Venue

Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cruzeiro Win

78%

Cruzeiro

1.28

15%

Draw

6.72

7%

Juventude

14.47

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

13.5%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 0

11.4%

Home win

1 – 0

10.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.53

Cruzeiro xG

Total xG

3.17

0.64

Juventude xG

78%
15%
CruzeiroDrawJuventude

1.28

78%

Home win

6.72

15%

Draw

14.47

7%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.29

56%

BTTS No

1.77

Clean Sheet

53%

Cruzeiro

1.89

8%

Juventude

12.55

Win to Nil

41%

Cruzeiro

2.42

1%

Juventude

181.67

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2 2.7 0.9 0.2
1 10.7 6.8 2.2 0.5 0.1
2 13.5 8.6 2.7 0.6 0.1
3 11.4 7.2 2.3 0.5 0.1
4 7.2 4.6 1.5 0.3
5 3.6 2.3 0.7 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.530
λ Away (xG) 0.636
Total xG 3.166
League avg home goals 1.260
League avg away goals 0.894
Cruzeiro attack strength 1.325
Cruzeiro defence strength 0.866
Juventude attack strength 0.821
Juventude defence strength 1.516
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 50