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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 23 Aug 2025

22:30

Venue

Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cruzeiro Win

53%

Cruzeiro

1.87

23%

Draw

4.34

23%

Internacional

4.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

1 – 0

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.81

Cruzeiro xG

Total xG

2.93

1.12

Internacional xG

53%
23%
23%
CruzeiroDrawInternacional

1.87

53%

Home win

4.34

23%

Draw

4.26

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.77

44%

BTTS No

2.30

Clean Sheet

33%

Cruzeiro

3.07

16%

Internacional

6.12

Win to Nil

17%

Cruzeiro

5.75

4%

Internacional

26.05

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 6.0 3.4 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 9.6 10.8 6.1 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.7 9.8 5.5 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 5.3 5.9 3.3 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 2.4 2.7 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.811
λ Away (xG) 1.123
Total xG 2.934
League avg home goals 1.287
League avg away goals 1.119
Cruzeiro attack strength 1.246
Cruzeiro defence strength 0.953
Internacional attack strength 1.053
Internacional defence strength 1.130
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 57