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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Thu 28 Nov 2024

00:00

Venue

Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cruzeiro Win

41%

Cruzeiro

2.43

32%

Draw

3.12

27%

Gremio

3.74

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

0 – 0

12.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.17

Cruzeiro xG

Total xG

2.06

0.89

Gremio xG

41%
32%
27%
CruzeiroDrawGremio

2.43

41%

Home win

3.12

32%

Draw

3.74

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.40

58%

BTTS No

1.71

Clean Sheet

41%

Cruzeiro

2.43

31%

Gremio

3.21

Win to Nil

17%

Cruzeiro

5.90

8%

Gremio

12.00

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.8 11.4 5.1 1.5 0.3 0.1
1 14.9 13.3 5.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 8.7 7.7 3.4 1.0 0.2
3 3.4 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.167
λ Away (xG) 0.888
Total xG 2.055
League avg home goals 1.318
League avg away goals 1.011
Cruzeiro attack strength 0.925
Cruzeiro defence strength 0.899
Gremio attack strength 0.977
Gremio defence strength 0.957
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 72