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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sun 19 Oct 2025

01:00

Venue

Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cruzeiro Win

58%

Cruzeiro

1.72

22%

Draw

4.48

20%

Fortaleza EC

5.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

10.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

2 – 0

10.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.87

Cruzeiro xG

Total xG

2.86

0.99

Fortaleza EC xG

58%
22%
20%
CruzeiroDrawFortaleza EC

1.72

58%

Home win

4.48

22%

Draw

5.10

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.14

Clean Sheet

37%

Cruzeiro

2.69

15%

Fortaleza EC

6.51

Win to Nil

22%

Cruzeiro

4.64

3%

Fortaleza EC

33.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 5.7 2.8 0.9 0.2
1 10.7 10.6 5.2 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.0 9.9 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 6.3 6.2 3.1 1.0 0.3
4 2.9 2.9 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 1.1 1.1 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.873
λ Away (xG) 0.990
Total xG 2.863
League avg home goals 1.443
League avg away goals 1.019
Cruzeiro attack strength 1.079
Cruzeiro defence strength 0.968
Fortaleza EC attack strength 1.004
Fortaleza EC defence strength 1.204
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 65