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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sun 4 May 2025

22:30

Venue

Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cruzeiro Win

38%

Cruzeiro

2.65

35%

Draw

2.88

27%

Flamengo

3.64

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.6%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.9%

Draw

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.05

Cruzeiro xG

Total xG

1.90

0.86

Flamengo xG

38%
35%
27%
CruzeiroDrawFlamengo

2.65

38%

Home win

2.88

35%

Draw

3.64

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

57%

Over 1.5

1.75

43%

Under 1.5

2.33

30%

Over 2.5

3.33

70%

Under 2.5

1.43

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.57

61%

BTTS No

1.64

Clean Sheet

42%

Cruzeiro

2.35

35%

Flamengo

2.85

Win to Nil

16%

Cruzeiro

6.23

10%

Flamengo

10.39

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.9 12.7 5.5 1.6 0.3 0.1
1 15.6 13.4 5.7 1.6 0.3 0.1
2 8.2 7.0 3.0 0.9 0.2
3 2.9 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.049
λ Away (xG) 0.856
Total xG 1.905
League avg home goals 1.407
League avg away goals 0.854
Cruzeiro attack strength 1.078
Cruzeiro defence strength 0.837
Flamengo attack strength 1.197
Flamengo defence strength 0.692
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44