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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Sun 23 Nov 2025

23:30

Venue

Governador Magalhães Pinto

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cruzeiro Win

53%

Cruzeiro

1.90

27%

Draw

3.70

20%

Corinthians

4.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

2 – 0

11.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.43

Cruzeiro xG

Total xG

2.21

0.78

Corinthians xG

53%
27%
20%
CruzeiroDrawCorinthians

1.90

53%

Home win

3.70

27%

Draw

4.92

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.43

59%

BTTS No

1.70

Clean Sheet

46%

Cruzeiro

2.17

24%

Corinthians

4.18

Win to Nil

24%

Cruzeiro

4.13

5%

Corinthians

20.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.0 8.5 3.3 0.9 0.2
1 15.7 12.2 4.7 1.2 0.2
2 11.3 8.7 3.4 0.9 0.2
3 5.4 4.2 1.6 0.4 0.1
4 1.9 1.5 0.6 0.1
5 0.6 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.431
λ Away (xG) 0.776
Total xG 2.207
League avg home goals 1.417
League avg away goals 1.023
Cruzeiro attack strength 1.004
Cruzeiro defence strength 0.838
Corinthians attack strength 0.905
Corinthians defence strength 1.006
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 72