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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sun 27 Jul 2025

20:00

Venue

Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cruzeiro Win

66%

Cruzeiro

1.51

22%

Draw

4.58

12%

Ceara

8.28

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.0%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

14.4%

Home win

1 – 1

9.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.81

Cruzeiro xG

Total xG

2.43

0.62

Ceara xG

66%
22%
12%
CruzeiroDrawCeara

1.51

66%

Home win

4.58

22%

Draw

8.28

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.59

61%

BTTS No

1.63

Clean Sheet

54%

Cruzeiro

1.86

16%

Ceara

6.11

Win to Nil

36%

Cruzeiro

2.81

2%

Ceara

50.58

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8 5.5 1.7 0.3 0.1
1 16.0 9.9 3.1 0.6 0.1
2 14.4 8.9 2.8 0.6 0.1
3 8.7 5.4 1.7 0.3 0.1
4 3.9 2.4 0.8 0.2
5 1.4 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.810
λ Away (xG) 0.619
Total xG 2.429
League avg home goals 1.261
League avg away goals 0.930
Cruzeiro attack strength 1.422
Cruzeiro defence strength 0.796
Ceara attack strength 0.836
Ceara defence strength 1.010
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 15