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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Thu 4 Dec 2025

22:30

Venue

Governador Magalhães Pinto

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cruzeiro Win

42%

Cruzeiro

2.39

31%

Draw

3.20

27%

Botafogo

3.71

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.1%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.7%

Draw

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.10

Cruzeiro xG

Total xG

1.92

0.82

Botafogo xG

42%
31%
27%
CruzeiroDrawBotafogo

2.39

42%

Home win

3.20

31%

Draw

3.71

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

57%

Over 1.5

1.75

43%

Under 1.5

2.33

30%

Over 2.5

3.33

70%

Under 2.5

1.43

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

37%

BTTS Yes

2.68

63%

BTTS No

1.59

Clean Sheet

44%

Cruzeiro

2.27

33%

Botafogo

3.00

Win to Nil

18%

Cruzeiro

5.43

9%

Botafogo

11.10

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.7 12.1 4.9 1.3 0.3
1 16.1 13.2 5.4 1.5 0.3
2 8.9 7.3 3.0 0.8 0.2
3 3.2 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.097
λ Away (xG) 0.819
Total xG 1.916
League avg home goals 1.485
League avg away goals 1.011
Cruzeiro attack strength 1.050
Cruzeiro defence strength 0.795
Botafogo attack strength 1.019
Botafogo defence strength 0.704
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 74