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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Mon 19 May 2025

00:30

Venue

Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cruzeiro Win

59%

Cruzeiro

1.71

26%

Draw

3.83

15%

Atletico-MG

6.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.0%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.5%

Home win

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.66

Cruzeiro xG

Total xG

2.40

0.74

Atletico-MG xG

59%
26%
15%
CruzeiroDrawAtletico-MG

1.71

59%

Home win

3.83

26%

Draw

6.50

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.31

57%

BTTS No

1.77

Clean Sheet

48%

Cruzeiro

2.10

19%

Atletico-MG

5.28

Win to Nil

28%

Cruzeiro

3.58

3%

Atletico-MG

34.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.0 6.7 2.5 0.6 0.1
1 15.0 11.1 4.1 1.0 0.2
2 12.5 9.3 3.4 0.8 0.2
3 6.9 5.1 1.9 0.5 0.1
4 2.9 2.1 0.8 0.2
5 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.663
λ Away (xG) 0.740
Total xG 2.403
League avg home goals 1.421
League avg away goals 0.833
Cruzeiro attack strength 1.147
Cruzeiro defence strength 0.879
Atletico-MG attack strength 1.009
Atletico-MG defence strength 1.020
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 46