Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

22:30

Venue

Neo Quimica Arena

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Corinthians Win

54%

Corinthians

1.84

29%

Draw

3.50

17%

Vasco DA Gama

5.83

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

2 – 0

10.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.76

Corinthians xG

Total xG

2.69

0.93

Vasco DA Gama xG

54%
29%
17%
CorinthiansDrawVasco DA Gama

1.84

54%

Home win

3.50

29%

Draw

5.83

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

39%

Corinthians

2.54

17%

Vasco DA Gama

5.81

Win to Nil

21%

Corinthians

4.68

3%

Vasco DA Gama

33.84

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 6.3 2.9 0.9 0.2
1 11.9 11.1 5.2 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.5 9.8 4.6 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 6.2 5.7 2.7 0.8 0.2
4 2.7 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.759
λ Away (xG) 0.932
Total xG 2.691
League avg home goals 1.320
League avg away goals 0.980
Corinthians attack strength 1.214
Corinthians defence strength 0.985
Vasco DA Gama attack strength 0.966
Vasco DA Gama defence strength 1.098
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 39 / 39