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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sun 30 Aug 2026

21:00

Venue

Neo Quimica Arena

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Corinthians Win

48%

Corinthians

2.09

25%

Draw

3.92

27%

Santos

3.74

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.54

Corinthians xG

Total xG

2.62

1.08

Santos xG

48%
25%
27%
CorinthiansDrawSantos

2.09

48%

Home win

3.92

25%

Draw

3.74

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

34%

Corinthians

2.95

22%

Santos

4.65

Win to Nil

16%

Corinthians

6.17

6%

Santos

17.39

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 7.9 4.3 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 11.2 12.1 6.6 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 8.6 9.3 5.0 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 4.4 4.8 2.6 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.7 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.536
λ Away (xG) 1.081
Total xG 2.617
League avg home goals 1.474
League avg away goals 1.112
Corinthians attack strength 0.884
Corinthians defence strength 0.875
Santos attack strength 1.112
Santos defence strength 1.179
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56