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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sun 18 May 2025

20:00

Venue

Neo Quimica Arena

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Corinthians Win

67%

Corinthians

1.49

21%

Draw

4.79

12%

Santos

8.35

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

12.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

12.5%

Home win

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.05

Corinthians xG

Total xG

2.80

0.75

Santos xG

67%
21%
12%
CorinthiansDrawSantos

1.49

67%

Home win

4.79

21%

Draw

8.35

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.15

53%

BTTS No

1.87

Clean Sheet

47%

Corinthians

2.11

13%

Santos

7.78

Win to Nil

32%

Corinthians

3.15

2%

Santos

65.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 4.6 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 12.5 9.3 3.5 0.9 0.2
2 12.8 9.6 3.6 0.9 0.2
3 8.7 6.6 2.5 0.6 0.1
4 4.5 3.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
5 1.8 1.4 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.052
λ Away (xG) 0.749
Total xG 2.801
League avg home goals 1.442
League avg away goals 0.835
Corinthians attack strength 1.263
Corinthians defence strength 1.194
Santos attack strength 0.751
Santos defence strength 1.127
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 8