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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sun 31 Aug 2025

22:30

Venue

Neo Quimica Arena

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palmeiras Win

28%

Corinthians

3.58

28%

Draw

3.54

44%

Palmeiras

2.28

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.2%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

0 – 0

10.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.98

Corinthians xG

Total xG

2.29

1.31

Palmeiras xG

28%
28%
44%
CorinthiansDrawPalmeiras

3.58

28%

Home win

3.54

28%

Draw

2.28

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.18

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

27%

Corinthians

3.70

37%

Palmeiras

2.68

Win to Nil

8%

Corinthians

13.21

16%

Palmeiras

6.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.1 13.2 8.6 3.8 1.2 0.3
1 10.0 13.0 8.5 3.7 1.2 0.3
2 4.9 6.4 4.2 1.8 0.6 0.2
3 1.6 2.1 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.985
λ Away (xG) 1.307
Total xG 2.292
League avg home goals 1.323
League avg away goals 1.091
Corinthians attack strength 0.889
Corinthians defence strength 1.027
Palmeiras attack strength 1.167
Palmeiras defence strength 0.837
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 57