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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Wed 23 Jul 2025

23:30

Venue

Neo Quimica Arena

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cruzeiro Win

32%

Corinthians

3.12

29%

Draw

3.41

39%

Cruzeiro

2.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

13.1%

Away win

1 – 0

11.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.02

Corinthians xG

Total xG

2.17

1.15

Cruzeiro xG

32%
29%
39%
CorinthiansDrawCruzeiro

3.12

32%

Home win

3.41

29%

Draw

2.59

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.29

56%

BTTS No

1.77

Clean Sheet

32%

Corinthians

3.16

36%

Cruzeiro

2.77

Win to Nil

10%

Corinthians

9.86

14%

Cruzeiro

7.16

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.4 13.1 7.6 2.9 0.8 0.2
1 11.6 13.4 7.7 3.0 0.8 0.2
2 5.9 6.8 3.9 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 2.0 2.3 1.3 0.5 0.1
4 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.019
λ Away (xG) 1.150
Total xG 2.169
League avg home goals 1.267
League avg away goals 0.899
Corinthians attack strength 1.079
Corinthians defence strength 1.099
Cruzeiro attack strength 1.163
Cruzeiro defence strength 0.745
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53