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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 18 Oct 2025

22:30

Venue

Neo Quimica Arena

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Corinthians Win

55%

Corinthians

1.83

27%

Draw

3.71

18%

Atletico-MG

5.41

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.1%

Home win

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

Corinthians xG

Total xG

2.15

0.71

Atletico-MG xG

55%
27%
18%
CorinthiansDrawAtletico-MG

1.83

55%

Home win

3.71

27%

Draw

5.41

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.57

61%

BTTS No

1.64

Clean Sheet

49%

Corinthians

2.04

24%

Atletico-MG

4.22

Win to Nil

27%

Corinthians

3.74

4%

Atletico-MG

22.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.6 8.3 2.9 0.7 0.1
1 16.7 11.9 4.2 1.0 0.2
2 12.1 8.6 3.1 0.7 0.1
3 5.8 4.1 1.5 0.3 0.1
4 2.1 1.5 0.5 0.1
5 0.6 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.440
λ Away (xG) 0.712
Total xG 2.152
League avg home goals 1.446
League avg away goals 1.024
Corinthians attack strength 0.976
Corinthians defence strength 0.976
Atletico-MG attack strength 0.713
Atletico-MG defence strength 1.020
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 65