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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Bahia Win
29%
3.46
22%
4.49
49%
2.05
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
9.7%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 2
9.3%
Away win
2 – 1
6.9%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.42
Chapecoense-sc xG
Total xG
3.32
1.90
Bahia xG
Chapecoense-scDrawBahia
3.46
29%
Home win
4.49
22%
Draw
2.05
49%
Away win
Goals Markets
84%
Over 1.5
1.19
16%
Under 1.5
6.25
65%
Over 2.5
1.54
35%
Under 2.5
2.86
42%
Over 3.5
2.38
58%
Under 3.5
1.72
24%
Over 4.5
4.17
76%
Under 4.5
1.32
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
65%
BTTS Yes
1.55
35%
BTTS No
2.82
Clean Sheet
15%
6.69
24%
4.15
Win to Nil
4%
23.12
12%
8.50
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.6 | 6.8 | 6.5 | 4.1 | 2.0 | 0.7 |
| 1 | 5.1 | 9.7 | 9.3 | 5.9 | 2.8 | 1.1 |
| 2 | 3.6 | 6.9 | 6.6 | 4.2 | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 3 | 1.7 | 3.3 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| 4 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.423
λ Away (xG)
1.900
Total xG
3.323
League avg home goals
1.474
League avg away goals
1.112
Chapecoense-sc attack strength
0.839
Chapecoense-sc defence strength
1.570
Bahia attack strength
1.088
Bahia defence strength
1.151
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
17 / 55