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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sat 30 Aug 2025

20:00

Venue

Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Ceara Win

55%

Ceara

1.80

26%

Draw

3.91

19%

Juventude

5.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

2 – 0

11.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.55

Ceara xG

Total xG

2.34

0.79

Juventude xG

55%
26%
19%
CearaDrawJuventude

1.80

55%

Home win

3.91

26%

Draw

5.27

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.33

57%

BTTS No

1.75

Clean Sheet

46%

Ceara

2.20

21%

Juventude

4.71

Win to Nil

25%

Ceara

3.96

4%

Juventude

24.82

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.7 7.6 3.0 0.8 0.2
1 15.0 11.8 4.6 1.2 0.2
2 11.6 9.1 3.6 0.9 0.2
3 6.0 4.7 1.9 0.5 0.1
4 2.3 1.8 0.7 0.2
5 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.550
λ Away (xG) 0.787
Total xG 2.337
League avg home goals 1.337
League avg away goals 1.109
Ceara attack strength 0.709
Ceara defence strength 0.934
Juventude attack strength 0.760
Juventude defence strength 1.636
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 20 / 58