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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Wed 16 Jul 2025

23:30

Venue

Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Ceara Win

44%

Ceara

2.29

32%

Draw

3.17

25%

Corinthians

4.03

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.0%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.6%

Draw

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.18

Ceara xG

Total xG

1.99

0.82

Corinthians xG

44%
32%
25%
CearaDrawCorinthians

2.29

44%

Home win

3.17

32%

Draw

4.03

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.55

61%

BTTS No

1.65

Clean Sheet

44%

Ceara

2.26

31%

Corinthians

3.24

Win to Nil

19%

Ceara

5.18

8%

Corinthians

13.07

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.6 11.1 4.5 1.2 0.3
1 16.0 13.1 5.3 1.5 0.3
2 9.4 7.7 3.1 0.9 0.2
3 3.7 3.0 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.177
λ Away (xG) 0.816
Total xG 1.993
League avg home goals 1.278
League avg away goals 0.928
Ceara attack strength 0.870
Ceara defence strength 0.978
Corinthians attack strength 0.899
Corinthians defence strength 1.059
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 12 / 51