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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sat 20 Sep 2025

22:30

Venue

Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bahia Win

32%

Ceara

3.14

31%

Draw

3.18

37%

Bahia

2.72

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.7%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.5%

Draw

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.92

Ceara xG

Total xG

1.93

1.01

Bahia xG

32%
31%
37%
CearaDrawBahia

3.14

32%

Home win

3.18

31%

Draw

2.72

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

57%

Over 1.5

1.75

43%

Under 1.5

2.33

30%

Over 2.5

3.33

70%

Under 2.5

1.43

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.62

62%

BTTS No

1.62

Clean Sheet

36%

Ceara

2.75

40%

Bahia

2.50

Win to Nil

12%

Ceara

8.63

15%

Bahia

6.82

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.5 14.7 7.4 2.5 0.6 0.1
1 13.4 13.5 6.8 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 6.1 6.2 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.1
3 1.9 1.9 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.918
λ Away (xG) 1.010
Total xG 1.928
League avg home goals 1.356
League avg away goals 1.109
Ceara attack strength 0.618
Ceara defence strength 0.959
Bahia attack strength 0.950
Bahia defence strength 1.096
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 22 / 59