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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Thu 17 Jul 2025

01:30

Venue

Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Botafogo Win

59%

Botafogo

1.70

24%

Draw

4.13

17%

Vitoria

5.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.3%

Home win

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.66

Botafogo xG

Total xG

2.41

0.76

Vitoria xG

59%
24%
17%
BotafogoDrawVitoria

1.70

59%

Home win

4.13

24%

Draw

5.91

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.33

57%

BTTS No

1.75

Clean Sheet

47%

Botafogo

2.13

19%

Vitoria

5.24

Win to Nil

28%

Botafogo

3.63

3%

Vitoria

30.96

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9 6.8 2.6 0.6 0.1
1 14.8 11.2 4.3 1.1 0.2
2 12.3 9.3 3.5 0.9 0.2
3 6.8 5.1 1.9 0.5 0.1
4 2.8 2.1 0.8 0.2
5 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.656
λ Away (xG) 0.758
Total xG 2.414
League avg home goals 1.267
League avg away goals 0.914
Botafogo attack strength 1.361
Botafogo defence strength 0.994
Vitoria attack strength 0.835
Vitoria defence strength 0.960
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 51