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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Mon 18 Aug 2025

00:30

Venue

Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palmeiras Win

36%

Botafogo

2.79

26%

Draw

3.78

38%

Palmeiras

2.66

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.9%

Away win

1 – 0

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Botafogo xG

Total xG

2.58

1.31

Palmeiras xG

36%
26%
38%
BotafogoDrawPalmeiras

2.79

36%

Home win

3.78

26%

Draw

2.66

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.11

Clean Sheet

27%

Botafogo

3.71

28%

Palmeiras

3.57

Win to Nil

10%

Botafogo

10.36

11%

Palmeiras

9.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 9.9 6.5 2.8 0.9 0.2
1 9.6 12.6 8.3 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 6.1 8.0 5.3 2.3 0.8 0.2
3 2.6 3.4 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.273
λ Away (xG) 1.312
Total xG 2.585
League avg home goals 1.275
League avg away goals 1.133
Botafogo attack strength 1.037
Botafogo defence strength 0.971
Palmeiras attack strength 1.193
Palmeiras defence strength 0.963
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55