Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Thu 2 Oct 2025

01:30

Venue

Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Botafogo Win

56%

Botafogo

1.79

22%

Draw

4.47

22%

Bahia

4.63

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.89

Botafogo xG

Total xG

2.98

1.09

Bahia xG

56%
22%
22%
BotafogoDrawBahia

1.79

56%

Home win

4.47

22%

Draw

4.63

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.78

44%

BTTS No

2.29

Clean Sheet

34%

Botafogo

2.97

15%

Bahia

6.60

Win to Nil

19%

Botafogo

5.30

3%

Bahia

30.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 5.6 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 9.6 10.5 5.7 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 9.1 9.9 5.4 2.0 0.5 0.1
3 5.7 6.2 3.4 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 2.7 2.9 1.6 0.6 0.2
5 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.887
λ Away (xG) 1.088
Total xG 2.975
League avg home goals 1.364
League avg away goals 1.036
Botafogo attack strength 1.165
Botafogo defence strength 1.089
Bahia attack strength 0.964
Bahia defence strength 1.187
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 62