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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Mon 31 Mar 2025

00:00

Venue

Arena Fonte Nova

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bahia Win

39%

Bahia

2.57

33%

Draw

3.06

28%

Corinthians

3.52

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.3%

Home win

0 – 1

10.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

Bahia xG

Total xG

2.34

1.06

Corinthians xG

39%
33%
28%
BahiaDrawCorinthians

2.57

39%

Home win

3.06

33%

Draw

3.52

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

34%

Bahia

2.90

28%

Corinthians

3.59

Win to Nil

13%

Bahia

7.46

8%

Corinthians

12.62

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.6 10.2 5.4 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 12.3 13.1 7.0 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 7.8 8.4 4.4 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 3.3 3.6 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.278
λ Away (xG) 1.065
Total xG 2.343
League avg home goals 1.333
League avg away goals 0.947
Bahia attack strength 0.979
Bahia defence strength 1.005
Corinthians attack strength 1.119
Corinthians defence strength 0.980
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38