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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sun 3 Aug 2025

22:30

Venue

MRV Arena

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atletico-MG Win

47%

Atletico-MG

2.13

28%

Draw

3.57

25%

RB Bragantino

4.00

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

0 – 0

9.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

Atletico-MG xG

Total xG

2.34

0.94

RB Bragantino xG

47%
28%
25%
Atletico-MGDrawRB Bragantino

2.13

47%

Home win

3.57

28%

Draw

4.00

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.15

54%

BTTS No

1.87

Clean Sheet

39%

Atletico-MG

2.57

25%

RB Bragantino

4.05

Win to Nil

18%

Atletico-MG

5.48

6%

RB Bragantino

16.20

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.6 9.1 4.3 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 13.4 12.7 6.0 1.9 0.4 0.1
2 9.4 8.9 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 4.4 4.1 2.0 0.6 0.1
4 1.5 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.398
λ Away (xG) 0.945
Total xG 2.343
League avg home goals 1.255
League avg away goals 0.933
Atletico-MG attack strength 1.053
Atletico-MG defence strength 0.932
RB Bragantino attack strength 1.086
RB Bragantino defence strength 1.057
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 55