Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sun 28 Sep 2025

01:00

Venue

MRV Arena

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Mirassol Win

33%

Atletico-MG

3.00

27%

Draw

3.72

40%

Mirassol

2.52

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.8%

Away win

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Atletico-MG xG

Total xG

2.50

1.32

Mirassol xG

33%
27%
40%
Atletico-MGDrawMirassol

3.00

33%

Home win

3.72

27%

Draw

2.52

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.04

Clean Sheet

27%

Atletico-MG

3.74

31%

Mirassol

3.27

Win to Nil

9%

Atletico-MG

11.22

12%

Mirassol

8.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 10.8 7.1 3.1 1.0 0.3
1 9.7 12.8 8.4 3.7 1.2 0.3
2 5.7 7.6 5.0 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 2.3 3.0 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.185
λ Away (xG) 1.320
Total xG 2.505
League avg home goals 1.368
League avg away goals 1.063
Atletico-MG attack strength 0.946
Atletico-MG defence strength 1.076
Mirassol attack strength 1.153
Mirassol defence strength 0.916
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 23