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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Wed 1 Oct 2025

01:30

Venue

MRV Arena

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atletico-MG Win

62%

Atletico-MG

1.60

22%

Draw

4.48

15%

Juventude

6.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.5%

Home win

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.82

Atletico-MG xG

Total xG

2.58

0.77

Juventude xG

62%
22%
15%
Atletico-MGDrawJuventude

1.60

62%

Home win

4.48

22%

Draw

6.58

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.23

55%

BTTS No

1.81

Clean Sheet

47%

Atletico-MG

2.15

16%

Juventude

6.17

Win to Nil

29%

Atletico-MG

3.44

2%

Juventude

40.60

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 5.8 2.2 0.6 0.1
1 13.7 10.5 4.0 1.0 0.2
2 12.5 9.6 3.7 0.9 0.2
3 7.6 5.8 2.2 0.6 0.1
4 3.4 2.6 1.0 0.3
5 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.820
λ Away (xG) 0.765
Total xG 2.585
League avg home goals 1.377
League avg away goals 1.048
Atletico-MG attack strength 0.924
Atletico-MG defence strength 0.956
Juventude attack strength 0.763
Juventude defence strength 1.432
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 62