🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Atletico-MG Win
42%
2.37
32%
3.12
26%
3.90
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
15.9%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
13.8%
Draw
1 – 1
13.2%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.15
Atletico-MG xG
Total xG
1.98
0.83
Fluminense xG
Atletico-MGDrawFluminense
2.37
42%
Home win
3.12
32%
Draw
3.90
26%
Away win
Goals Markets
59%
Over 1.5
1.69
41%
Under 1.5
2.44
32%
Over 2.5
3.12
68%
Under 2.5
1.47
14%
Over 3.5
7.14
86%
Under 3.5
1.16
5%
Over 4.5
20.00
95%
Under 4.5
1.05
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
39%
BTTS Yes
2.54
61%
BTTS No
1.65
Clean Sheet
44%
2.30
32%
3.16
Win to Nil
18%
5.43
8%
12.30
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.8 | 11.5 | 4.8 | 1.3 | 0.3 | – |
| 1 | 15.9 | 13.2 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.1 | 7.6 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.149
λ Away (xG)
0.831
Total xG
1.980
League avg home goals
1.398
League avg away goals
0.868
Atletico-MG attack strength
0.934
Atletico-MG defence strength
1.014
Fluminense attack strength
0.945
Fluminense defence strength
0.880
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
45 / 45