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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Wed 26 Nov 2025

00:30

Venue

MRV Arena

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Flamengo Win

34%

Atletico-MG

2.94

26%

Draw

3.86

40%

Flamengo

2.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.7%

Away win

1 – 0

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Atletico-MG xG

Total xG

2.67

1.40

Flamengo xG

34%
26%
40%
Atletico-MGDrawFlamengo

2.94

34%

Home win

3.86

26%

Draw

2.50

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.18

Clean Sheet

25%

Atletico-MG

4.05

28%

Flamengo

3.55

Win to Nil

8%

Atletico-MG

11.92

11%

Flamengo

8.87

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 9.7 6.8 3.2 1.1 0.3
1 8.8 12.3 8.6 4.0 1.4 0.4
2 5.6 7.8 5.5 2.5 0.9 0.2
3 2.4 3.3 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.268
λ Away (xG) 1.399
Total xG 2.667
League avg home goals 1.432
League avg away goals 1.014
Atletico-MG attack strength 1.050
Atletico-MG defence strength 0.981
Flamengo attack strength 1.408
Flamengo defence strength 0.843
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 73