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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Atletico-MG Win
59%
1.71
25%
4.00
16%
6.10
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
11.4%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
10.8%
Home win
1 – 1
10.5%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.88
Atletico-MG xG
Total xG
2.80
0.92
Corinthians xG
Atletico-MGDrawCorinthians
1.71
59%
Home win
4.00
25%
Draw
6.10
16%
Away win
Goals Markets
77%
Over 1.5
1.30
23%
Under 1.5
4.35
53%
Over 2.5
1.89
47%
Under 2.5
2.13
31%
Over 3.5
3.23
69%
Under 3.5
1.45
15%
Over 4.5
6.67
85%
Under 4.5
1.18
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
52%
BTTS Yes
1.91
48%
BTTS No
2.10
Clean Sheet
40%
2.50
15%
6.58
Win to Nil
23%
4.27
2%
40.12
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.1 | 5.6 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 11.4 | 10.5 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.8 | 9.9 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.8 | 6.2 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 3.2 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.884
λ Away (xG)
0.918
Total xG
2.802
League avg home goals
1.392
League avg away goals
0.845
Atletico-MG attack strength
1.105
Atletico-MG defence strength
1.146
Corinthians attack strength
0.949
Corinthians defence strength
1.226
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
47 / 47