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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Draw
33%
3.06
40%
2.50
27%
3.67
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 0
16.5%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
15.7%
Home win
0 – 1
14.1%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.95
Atletico-MG xG
Total xG
1.80
0.85
Botafogo xG
Atletico-MGDrawBotafogo
3.06
33%
Home win
2.50
40%
Draw
3.67
27%
Away win
Goals Markets
54%
Over 1.5
1.85
46%
Under 1.5
2.17
27%
Over 2.5
3.70
73%
Under 2.5
1.37
11%
Over 3.5
9.09
89%
Under 3.5
1.12
4%
Over 4.5
25.00
96%
Under 4.5
1.04
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
39%
BTTS Yes
2.58
61%
BTTS No
1.63
Clean Sheet
43%
2.34
39%
2.59
Win to Nil
14%
7.15
11%
9.49
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16.5 | 14.1 | 6.0 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 15.7 | 13.3 | 5.7 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 7.5 | 6.3 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.950
λ Away (xG)
0.850
Total xG
1.800
League avg home goals
1.452
League avg away goals
0.904
Atletico-MG attack strength
0.910
Atletico-MG defence strength
1.083
Botafogo attack strength
0.869
Botafogo defence strength
0.719
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
42 / 42