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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Thu 5 Dec 2024

00:30

Venue

Estádio Antônio Accioly

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fortaleza EC Win

27%

Atletico Goianiense

3.75

34%

Draw

2.96

40%

Fortaleza EC

2.53

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.9%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

0 – 0

13.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.90

Atletico Goianiense xG

Total xG

2.04

1.15

Fortaleza EC xG

27%
34%
40%
Atletico GoianienseDrawFortaleza EC

3.75

27%

Home win

2.96

34%

Draw

2.53

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.37

58%

BTTS No

1.73

Clean Sheet

32%

Atletico Goianiense

3.15

41%

Fortaleza EC

2.45

Win to Nil

8%

Atletico Goianiense

11.78

16%

Fortaleza EC

6.20

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.0 14.9 8.5 3.3 0.9 0.2
1 11.6 13.3 7.6 2.9 0.8 0.2
2 5.2 6.0 3.4 1.3 0.4 0.1
3 1.6 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.897
λ Away (xG) 1.146
Total xG 2.043
League avg home goals 1.335
League avg away goals 1.045
Atletico Goianiense attack strength 0.588
Atletico Goianiense defence strength 1.001
Fortaleza EC attack strength 1.096
Fortaleza EC defence strength 1.143
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 36 / 74