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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Prediction vindicated as Club Brugge KV edge out Zulte Waregem 0-1.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Club Brugge KV beat Zulte Waregem 0-1 at Elindus Arena, Regular Season - 4, in the Jupiler Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Zulte Waregem 1.33 xG and Club Brugge KV 1.33 xG, a combined 2.66. The scoreboard read 0-1 for 1 actual goal. Zulte Waregem fell 1.3 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Zulte Waregem attack 0.85 / defence 1.12 against Club Brugge KV attack 1.07 / defence 1.00, drawn from 3/33 games (Blended).

On the result, the model split it Zulte Waregem 34% | Draw 31% | Club Brugge KV 35%, with Club Brugge KV to win its most likely call at 35%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 50%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 77% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 57% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 66% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Zulte Waregem 69%, Club Brugge KV 62%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 66%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Zulte Waregem's trading profile (32 games, 15 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 69% of their matches — today it did not.

Club Brugge KV's trading profile (32 games, 15 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 62% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 34% of the time, and duly kept one.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Zulte Waregem 2.00 PPG, Club Brugge KV 2.19 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Club Brugge KV win broke the near-deadlock. Zulte Waregem (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 2.27 scoring average — below par going forward. Club Brugge KV (home/away splits) managed 1 against a 2.07 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.07 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights