Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

19:45

Venue

Stade Joseph Marien

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union St. Gilloise Win

56%

Union St. Gilloise

1.80

26%

Draw

3.78

18%

Standard Liege

5.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

10.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

2 – 0

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.86

Union St. Gilloise xG

Total xG

2.86

1.00

Standard Liege xG

56%
26%
18%
Union St. GilloiseDrawStandard Liege

1.80

56%

Home win

3.78

26%

Draw

5.59

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.24

Clean Sheet

37%

Union St. Gilloise

2.71

16%

Standard Liege

6.45

Win to Nil

21%

Union St. Gilloise

4.88

3%

Standard Liege

36.07

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 5.7 2.8 0.9 0.2
1 10.7 10.6 5.3 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.9 9.9 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 6.2 6.2 3.1 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 2.9 2.9 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 1.1 1.1 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.864
λ Away (xG) 0.998
Total xG 2.862
League avg home goals 1.493
League avg away goals 1.095
Union St. Gilloise attack strength 1.384
Union St. Gilloise defence strength 0.843
Standard Liege attack strength 1.081
Standard Liege defence strength 0.902
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 33 / 33