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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sun 9 Mar 2025

18:15

Venue

Stade Joseph Mariën

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union St. Gilloise Win

54%

Union St. Gilloise

1.85

28%

Draw

3.62

18%

Standard Liege

5.44

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

2 – 0

10.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.73

Union St. Gilloise xG

Total xG

2.67

0.94

Standard Liege xG

54%
28%
18%
Union St. GilloiseDrawStandard Liege

1.85

54%

Home win

3.62

28%

Draw

5.44

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.09

Clean Sheet

39%

Union St. Gilloise

2.56

18%

Standard Liege

5.64

Win to Nil

21%

Union St. Gilloise

4.74

3%

Standard Liege

30.69

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 6.5 3.1 1.0 0.2
1 12.0 11.3 5.3 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.4 9.7 4.6 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 6.0 5.6 2.6 0.8 0.2
4 2.6 2.4 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.730
λ Away (xG) 0.940
Total xG 2.670
League avg home goals 1.433
League avg away goals 1.110
Union St. Gilloise attack strength 1.159
Union St. Gilloise defence strength 0.909
Standard Liege attack strength 0.932
Standard Liege defence strength 1.042
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58