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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 1 Mar 2025

19:45

Venue

Stade Joseph Mariën

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union St. Gilloise Win

61%

Union St. Gilloise

1.64

25%

Draw

4.00

14%

Dender

7.04

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

9.9%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 1

9.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.14

Union St. Gilloise xG

Total xG

3.15

1.00

Dender xG

61%
25%
14%
Union St. GilloiseDrawDender

1.64

61%

Home win

4.00

25%

Draw

7.04

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.71

41%

BTTS No

2.41

Clean Sheet

37%

Union St. Gilloise

2.73

12%

Dender

8.52

Win to Nil

22%

Union St. Gilloise

4.49

2%

Dender

59.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.3 4.3 2.2 0.7 0.2
1 9.2 9.3 4.6 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 9.9 9.9 5.0 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 7.0 7.1 3.6 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 3.8 3.8 1.9 0.6 0.2
5 1.6 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.142
λ Away (xG) 1.005
Total xG 3.147
League avg home goals 1.461
League avg away goals 1.144
Union St. Gilloise attack strength 1.029
Union St. Gilloise defence strength 0.887
Dender attack strength 0.990
Dender defence strength 1.425
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 27