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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Championship Round - 3

Kick-off

Sat 12 Apr 2025

19:45

Venue

Stade Joseph Mariën

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union St. Gilloise Win

42%

Union St. Gilloise

2.39

33%

Draw

3.05

25%

Anderlecht

3.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

0 – 0

10.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.29

Union St. Gilloise xG

Total xG

2.25

0.96

Anderlecht xG

42%
33%
25%
Union St. GilloiseDrawAnderlecht

2.39

42%

Home win

3.05

33%

Draw

3.94

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.13

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

38%

Union St. Gilloise

2.61

27%

Anderlecht

3.64

Win to Nil

16%

Union St. Gilloise

6.25

7%

Anderlecht

14.32

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.5 10.1 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 13.6 13.0 6.3 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 8.8 8.4 4.0 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 3.8 3.6 1.7 0.6 0.1
4 1.2 1.2 0.6 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.291
λ Away (xG) 0.960
Total xG 2.251
League avg home goals 1.471
League avg away goals 1.113
Union St. Gilloise attack strength 1.202
Union St. Gilloise defence strength 0.855
Anderlecht attack strength 1.009
Anderlecht defence strength 0.730
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60