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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Conference League Play-off Group - 5

Kick-off

Tue 22 Apr 2025

19:30

Venue

Stade Maurice Dufrasne

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Standard Liege Win

40%

Standard Liege

2.48

37%

Draw

2.71

23%

OH Leuven

4.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.6%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

16.6%

Draw

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.06

Standard Liege xG

Total xG

1.79

0.74

OH Leuven xG

40%
37%
23%
Standard LiegeDrawOH Leuven

2.48

40%

Home win

2.71

37%

Draw

4.37

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

54%

Over 1.5

1.85

46%

Under 1.5

2.17

27%

Over 2.5

3.70

73%

Under 2.5

1.37

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.76

64%

BTTS No

1.57

Clean Sheet

48%

Standard Liege

2.09

35%

OH Leuven

2.87

Win to Nil

19%

Standard Liege

5.19

8%

OH Leuven

12.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.6 12.3 4.5 1.1 0.2
1 17.6 13.0 4.8 1.2 0.2
2 9.3 6.8 2.5 0.6 0.1
3 3.3 2.4 0.9 0.2
4 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.056
λ Away (xG) 0.737
Total xG 1.793
League avg home goals 1.472
League avg away goals 1.113
Standard Liege attack strength 0.702
Standard Liege defence strength 0.876
OH Leuven attack strength 0.756
OH Leuven defence strength 1.023
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60