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Standard Liege vs Gent – Predictions

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sun 22 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

Stade Maurice Dufrasne

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Standard Liege Win

46%

Standard Liege

2.16

35%

Draw

2.85

19%

Gent

5.34

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

0 – 0

10.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

Standard Liege xG

Total xG

2.22

0.83

Gent xG

46%
35%
19%
Standard LiegeDrawGent

2.16

46%

Home win

2.85

35%

Draw

5.34

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.17

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

44%

Standard Liege

2.29

25%

Gent

4.00

Win to Nil

20%

Standard Liege

4.96

5%

Gent

21.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.9 9.1 3.8 1.0 0.2
1 15.1 12.5 5.2 1.4 0.3
2 10.5 8.7 3.6 1.0 0.2
3 4.8 4.0 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 1.7 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.5 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.386
λ Away (xG) 0.830
Total xG 2.216
League avg home goals 1.666
League avg away goals 1.026
Standard Liege attack strength 0.785
Standard Liege defence strength 0.847
Gent attack strength 0.957
Gent defence strength 1.060
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48