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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sun 10 Aug 2025

17:30

Venue

Maurice Dufrasnestadion

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Standard Liege Win

37%

Standard Liege

2.69

33%

Draw

3.01

30%

Genk

3.38

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.6%

Home win

0 – 1

10.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Standard Liege xG

Total xG

2.39

1.12

Genk xG

37%
33%
30%
Standard LiegeDrawGenk

2.69

37%

Home win

3.01

33%

Draw

3.38

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.05

Clean Sheet

33%

Standard Liege

3.06

28%

Genk

3.58

Win to Nil

12%

Standard Liege

8.23

8%

Genk

12.09

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.1 10.2 5.7 2.1 0.6 0.1
1 11.6 13.0 7.3 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 7.4 8.3 4.6 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 3.2 3.5 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.275
λ Away (xG) 1.119
Total xG 2.394
League avg home goals 1.526
League avg away goals 1.088
Standard Liege attack strength 0.844
Standard Liege defence strength 0.975
Genk attack strength 1.055
Genk defence strength 0.990
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 32 / 32