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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Conference League Play-off Group - 9

Kick-off

Sat 17 May 2025

17:15

Venue

Stade Maurice Dufrasne

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Standard Liege Win

49%

Standard Liege

2.04

30%

Draw

3.33

21%

Dender

4.75

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

2 – 0

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.52

Standard Liege xG

Total xG

2.46

0.93

Dender xG

49%
30%
21%
Standard LiegeDrawDender

2.04

49%

Home win

3.33

30%

Draw

4.75

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.02

50%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

39%

Standard Liege

2.54

22%

Dender

4.59

Win to Nil

19%

Standard Liege

5.20

5%

Dender

21.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6 8.0 3.7 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 13.1 12.2 5.7 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.9 9.3 4.3 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 5.0 4.7 2.2 0.7 0.2
4 1.9 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.523
λ Away (xG) 0.934
Total xG 2.457
League avg home goals 1.473
League avg away goals 1.113
Standard Liege attack strength 0.735
Standard Liege defence strength 0.892
Dender attack strength 0.941
Dender defence strength 1.408
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 30