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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 26 Jan 2025

12:30

Venue

Stade Maurice Dufrasne

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Standard Liege Win

39%

Standard Liege

2.57

36%

Draw

2.76

25%

Dender

4.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

0 – 0

11.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.24

Standard Liege xG

Total xG

2.21

0.96

Dender xG

39%
36%
25%
Standard LiegeDrawDender

2.57

39%

Home win

2.76

36%

Draw

4.02

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.09

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

38%

Standard Liege

2.62

29%

Dender

3.47

Win to Nil

15%

Standard Liege

6.74

7%

Dender

13.93

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.0 10.6 5.1 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 13.7 13.2 6.4 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 8.5 8.2 4.0 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 3.5 3.4 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 1.1 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.244
λ Away (xG) 0.964
Total xG 2.208
League avg home goals 1.496
League avg away goals 1.117
Standard Liege attack strength 0.752
Standard Liege defence strength 0.796
Dender attack strength 1.084
Dender defence strength 1.106
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 22