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Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 5 Sep 2026

19:45

Venue

Daio Wasabi Stayen

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

St. Truiden Win

37%

St. Truiden

2.67

26%

Draw

3.92

37%

RAAL La Louvière

2.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

8.8%

Home win

0 – 1

8.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

St. Truiden xG

Total xG

2.75

1.37

RAAL La Louvière xG

37%
26%
37%
St. TruidenDrawRAAL La Louvière

2.67

37%

Home win

3.92

26%

Draw

2.70

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.79

44%

BTTS No

2.27

Clean Sheet

25%

St. Truiden

3.94

25%

RAAL La Louvière

3.98

Win to Nil

9%

St. Truiden

10.53

9%

RAAL La Louvière

10.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4 8.7 6.0 2.7 0.9 0.3
1 8.8 12.1 8.3 3.8 1.3 0.4
2 6.1 8.3 5.7 2.6 0.9 0.2
3 2.8 3.8 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.0 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.382
λ Away (xG) 1.372
Total xG 2.754
League avg home goals 1.380
League avg away goals 1.323
St. Truiden attack strength 1.018
St. Truiden defence strength 1.026
RAAL La Louvière attack strength 1.011
RAAL La Louvière defence strength 0.984
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 30