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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sun 28 Sep 2025

12:30

Venue

Daio Wasabi Stayen

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

St. Truiden Win

37%

St. Truiden

2.72

31%

Draw

3.26

33%

Genk

3.07

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

0 – 1

9.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.33

St. Truiden xG

Total xG

2.58

1.24

Genk xG

37%
31%
33%
St. TruidenDrawGenk

2.72

37%

Home win

3.26

31%

Draw

3.07

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.20

Clean Sheet

29%

St. Truiden

3.47

26%

Genk

3.80

Win to Nil

11%

St. Truiden

9.43

9%

Genk

11.67

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 9.4 5.9 2.4 0.8 0.2
1 10.1 12.6 7.8 3.2 1.0 0.3
2 6.8 8.4 5.2 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 3.0 3.7 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.335
λ Away (xG) 1.244
Total xG 2.579
League avg home goals 1.396
League avg away goals 1.128
St. Truiden attack strength 0.975
St. Truiden defence strength 1.076
Genk attack strength 1.025
Genk defence strength 0.981
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38