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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Fri 8 Aug 2025

19:45

Venue

Daio Wasabi Stayen

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

St. Truiden Win

54%

St. Truiden

1.86

28%

Draw

3.58

18%

Dender

5.46

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.95

St. Truiden xG

Total xG

3.07

1.12

Dender xG

54%
28%
18%
St. TruidenDrawDender

1.86

54%

Home win

3.58

28%

Draw

5.46

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.65

39%

BTTS No

2.55

Clean Sheet

33%

St. Truiden

3.05

14%

Dender

7.06

Win to Nil

18%

St. Truiden

5.67

3%

Dender

38.54

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6 5.2 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 9.1 10.1 5.6 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 8.9 9.9 5.5 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 5.8 6.4 3.6 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 2.8 3.1 1.8 0.7 0.2
5 1.1 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.954
λ Away (xG) 1.116
Total xG 3.070
League avg home goals 1.561
League avg away goals 1.079
St. Truiden attack strength 1.190
St. Truiden defence strength 1.027
Dender attack strength 1.007
Dender defence strength 1.052
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 32 / 32